Ask AI Coach

1. How would you decide how much you're going to risk for this position?

  • Risk Percentage Rule: Most investors and traders risk 1-2% of their total portfolio per trade. This ensures no single trade causes significant damage.
    • Example: If your portfolio is $50,000, risking 2% means you’re willing to lose $1,000 on the Amazon position.
  • Position Sizing: Determine your position size based on your stop-loss.
    • Example: If Amazon is $230, and you plan to set a stop-loss at $210 (20-point risk), you can buy: Position Size=Risk AmountRisk per Share\text{Position Size} = \frac{\text{Risk Amount}}{\text{Risk per Share}}Position Size=Risk per ShareRisk Amount​ Position Size=1,00020=50 shares\text{Position Size} = \frac{1,000}{20} = 50 \, \text{shares}Position Size=201,000​=50shares

2. At what point, if the price goes down, would you sell for a loss?

  • Stop-Loss Placement: Use technical levels to decide stop-loss points:
    • Place it just below a key support level (e.g., $220 if $230 is support).
    • Or, use a percentage rule, such as 5-10% below your entry.
  • Trailing Stops: As the price moves up, you can adjust the stop-loss to lock in gains. For example:
    • If Amazon rises to $250, you might move your stop to $240 to protect profits.

3. At what point would you set a stop around breakeven?

  • Breakeven Stop-Loss: Move your stop-loss to breakeven when the stock has moved significantly in your favor, such as 10-20% above your entry.
    • Example: If Amazon goes from $230 to $250, consider moving your stop to $230 to ensure no loss.
  • Risk-Free Trade: Moving the stop to breakeven removes emotional stress, allowing you to stay in the trade longer.

General Rules of Thumb for Stops

  1. Initial Stop-Loss: Set based on either technical support levels or a fixed percentage (e.g., 5-10%).

  2. Trailing Stops: Adjust when the stock moves up 10-20%.

  3. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least a 1:2 ratio, meaning for every $1 you risk, you aim to make $2.

    • Example: If your stop is $20 below the entry, target at least $40 in upside.

Other Blue Chips or IPO Recommendations

  • Blue Chips: Focus on stocks with strong fundamentals and pricing power:
    • Apple ($AAPL): Stable cash flow, strong ecosystem.
    • Microsoft ($MSFT): Growth in cloud computing and AI.
    • NVIDIA ($NVDA): AI and GPU leader.
    • Berkshire Hathaway ($BRK.B): Diversified and low-risk.
  • Upcoming IPOs:
    • Keep an eye on Stripe and Arm Holdings (ARM) for high-profile IPOs.
    • Research their valuations and growth potential carefully, as IPOs can be volatile.

1. Membership Agreement

  • When you signed up for the gym membership, you likely agreed to terms and conditions. Even if your ex's card was used to pay, the contract is usually tied to the person whose name is on the membership account.
  • If your name is on the account, you may be held responsible for the unpaid balance.

2. Collection Efforts

  • If the gym cannot collect the overdue payment, they may send the account to collections. This would likely appear on your credit report if the account is under your name, negatively impacting your credit score.

3. Payment Responsibility

  • If the gym was charging your ex's card, but the account is in your name, the gym may still hold you accountable for any unpaid balance.

What You Can Do

  1. Contact the Gym

    • Reach out to the gym and explain the situation. Confirm:
      • If your account has an outstanding balance.
      • Whether the membership cancellation was processed fully.
      • Who is legally responsible for the remaining payment.
  2. Negotiate or Resolve the Debt

    • If the gym insists the balance is your responsibility, try to negotiate:
      • A payment plan.
      • A waiver of the balance if you can demonstrate financial hardship.
  3. Monitor Your Credit

    • Check your credit report regularly to ensure no negative marks appear due to this situation. You can access free credit reports through AnnualCreditReport.com.
  4. Consider a Debt Validation Request

    • If the debt gets sent to collections, you have the right to request validation to confirm the debt is legitimate and tied to you.

Final Thoughts

If the account is in your name, you may be responsible, regardless of who was paying. Address the issue with the gym as soon as possible to avoid potential damage to your credit. If you feel overwhelmed or uncertain, a credit counselor or consumer rights advocate can help guide you.

1. Gold

  • Why Gold?
    • Gold is a global hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical uncertainty.
    • It typically performs well when fiat currencies (like AUD) are under pressure or in periods of market downturns.
  • How to Invest in Gold?
    • Physical Gold: Bars, coins, or bullion (requires storage and insurance).
    • Gold ETFs: Low-cost funds like SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) or Australian ETFs like ETFS Physical Gold (GOLD.AX).
    • Gold Mining Stocks: Companies like Newcrest Mining or ETFs like GDX for exposure to miners.
  • Pros:
    • Diversifies your portfolio.
    • Highly liquid.
  • Cons:
    • Doesn’t generate income (e.g., dividends).
    • Can be volatile over the short term.

2. USD (US Dollar)

  • Why USD?
    • The USD is considered the world's reserve currency and a reliable safe haven.
    • It tends to strengthen during global uncertainty or when other currencies weaken.
  • How to Invest in USD?
    • Currency Accounts: Open a USD-denominated account to hold cash.
    • Forex Trading: Speculate directly on AUD/USD movements.
    • USD ETFs: Funds like BetaShares US Dollar ETF (USD.AX) track the USD against the AUD.
  • Pros:
    • Easy to access through Australian financial institutions.
    • Can hedge against a weakening AUD.
  • Cons:
    • Exchange rate fees and spreads can erode returns.
    • Subject to monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve.

3. CHF (Swiss Franc)

  • Why CHF?
    • The Swiss Franc is historically stable and viewed as a safe-haven currency, especially during European and global crises.
    • Switzerland’s robust economy and neutral geopolitical stance make CHF a reliable asset.
  • How to Invest in CHF?
    • Currency Accounts: Similar to USD accounts, some banks offer CHF holdings.
    • Forex Trading: Trade AUD/CHF or use forex platforms to invest directly.
    • CHF ETFs: Though less common, you can explore European-based funds for CHF exposure.
  • Pros:
    • Tends to hold value well during market downturns.
    • Less correlated with major market indices.
  • Cons:
    • Lower liquidity than USD.
    • Exchange fees may be higher for CHF trades.

Key Considerations

  1. Diversification:

    • Don’t rely solely on one asset; spread your exposure across multiple safe havens and investments.
    • Consider combining gold, USD, and CHF with other low-risk assets (e.g., government bonds).
  2. Hedging Costs:

    • Factor in currency conversion fees and ETF management fees when assessing returns.
  3. Risk Profile:

    • Determine how much of your portfolio you’re comfortable allocating to hedges versus growth assets.
  4. Macroeconomic Trends:

    • Monitor factors driving AUD weakness, such as interest rates, trade relationships, and commodity prices, to time your investments better.

A Sample Strategy

  • Gold: 20% of your hedge allocation via physical gold or ETFs like GOLD.AX.
  • USD: 50% via ETFs or USD savings accounts.
  • CHF: 30% via forex trading or a CHF-denominated fund.

1. Social Security Timing and Work Considerations

  • Taking Benefits Early vs. Delaying Until 70:
    • You can start taking Social Security benefits as early as 62, but your benefits will be permanently reduced (by about 25-30%, depending on your Full Retirement Age or FRA).
    • If you delay until 70, your monthly benefits increase by 8% annually for every year past your FRA. For example, if your FRA is 67, waiting until 70 would increase your benefits by 24%.
  • Impact of Working Part-Time or Full-Time:
    • If you start collecting Social Security before your FRA (e.g., at 62), there’s an earnings limit. In 2024, if you earn more than $22,320, $1 is deducted from your benefits for every $2 earned over the limit. Once you reach your FRA, there’s no penalty for working, and your benefits are recalculated.
    • After FRA or at 70: You can work full-time or part-time without reducing benefits.
  • How Health Impacts the Decision:
    • Your advisor’s suggestion to assess your health history is spot on. If you or your spouse have shorter life expectancies due to health, taking benefits earlier can make sense.
    • For those in good health, delaying benefits can provide financial security in later years when you’re less likely to work.
  • Action Plan:

    1. Get an estimate of your Social Security benefits using the SSA calculator.

    2. Assess your expected retirement budget and whether early benefits or waiting aligns better with your needs.


2. IRA and Stock/Bond Portfolio Management

  • Bridging the Income Gap:
    • Your advisor is referring to using your IRA or investment accounts to cover expenses between retirement and when you claim Social Security.
    • For example, if you retire at 67 but delay SS until 70, your IRA withdrawals or other investments may fund those three years.
  • Minimizing Taxes:

    • Withdrawals from a Traditional IRA are taxed as ordinary income.
    • Strategies to reduce taxes include:
    • Roth Conversions: If your income is lower in early retirement, consider converting some Traditional IRA funds to a Roth IRA, where withdrawals are tax-free later.
    1. Tax-Efficient Withdrawals: Withdraw from taxable accounts first (e.g., brokerage accounts), followed by tax-deferred accounts (IRAs), and Roth IRAs last.

    2. Staying in a Lower Tax Bracket: Ensure your withdrawals don’t push you into a higher tax bracket.

  • Investment Allocations:

    • As you approach retirement, shifting to a more conservative allocation (e.g., more bonds, fewer stocks) is common, but you still need growth to outpace inflation.
    • A typical guideline might be the “60/40” rule (60% stocks, 40% bonds), but this varies based on your risk tolerance and income needs.

Resources for Beginners to Build Expertise

  1. Books:

    • “The Simple Path to Wealth” by JL Collins – Great introduction to investing and retirement planning.
    • “Retirement Planning Guidebook” by Wade Pfau – A comprehensive resource covering Social Security, taxes, and investments.
  2. Websites:

  3. Tools:

    • Personal Capital – Tracks net worth and helps analyze portfolio allocation.
    • SmartAsset Retirement Calculator – Helps estimate retirement income needs and investment growth.
  4. Financial Literacy Podcasts:

    • “Retirement Answer Man” with Roger Whitney.
    • “The Money Guy Show” – Practical, beginner-friendly advice.

Practical Steps to Take Right Now

  1. Build a Retirement Budget:

    • Calculate your expected monthly expenses and compare them to anticipated income sources (e.g., Social Security, IRA withdrawals).
  2. Estimate Withdrawals:

    • Use the 4% Rule as a starting point: Withdraw 4% of your portfolio in the first year of retirement, adjusting annually for inflation.
  3. Talk to Your Advisor:

    • Clarify specific questions about Roth conversions, withdrawal strategies, and portfolio rebalancing.
  4. Consider Hiring a CFP:

    • A Certified Financial Planner (CFP) can tailor advice to your specific situation, particularly around tax and withdrawal strategies.

In Summary

  • Delaying Social Security until 70 generally maximizes benefits, and you can work part-time without penalty after reaching FRA.
  • For IRA management, focus on tax efficiency, sustainable withdrawals, and maintaining an appropriate asset allocation.
  • Use beginner-friendly resources to enhance your knowledge, and consider engaging with a CFP if you need personalized guidance.

What happens to unvested RSUs (Restricted Stock Units) during a buyout depends on the specifics of the deal and the agreements between the acquiring private equity firm, the company being acquired, and the employee compensation plan. Here are the key possibilities:


1. RSUs Are Cashed Out

  • In some cases, unvested RSUs may be accelerated (vested immediately) as part of the buyout agreement.
  • If accelerated, they are typically cashed out at the buyout price (e.g., if the PE firm offers $50 per share and you have 1,000 unvested RSUs, you’d receive $50,000 pre-tax).
  • Whether this happens often depends on your employment agreement or the terms of the RSU plan.

2. RSUs Are Replaced with New Equity

  • Unvested RSUs may be converted into equivalent units in the new private entity (e.g., stock options or new restricted equity in the private company).
  • The vesting schedule often remains the same but may reset based on the deal terms.
  • This approach aligns incentives for employees to stay post-buyout and contribute to the private equity firm’s goals.

3. RSUs Are Canceled

  • In rare cases, if there’s no provision for unvested equity in the buyout agreement, the RSUs may be forfeited. This is more likely if you leave the company during or after the transaction, and the agreement doesn’t protect your unvested shares.

4. Combination of Outcomes

  • Some deals may provide a mix, where vested RSUs are cashed out, and unvested RSUs are partially accelerated, canceled, or converted into private equity.

Factors That Determine the Outcome

  1. RSU Agreement Terms:

    • Check your RSU agreement to see what happens in the case of a “change of control” (the buyout).
    • Some agreements have provisions for automatic acceleration or payouts.
  2. Buyout Deal Terms:

    • The acquiring company (private equity firm) decides how to handle outstanding equity, often negotiated as part of the transaction.
  3. Retention Strategy:

    • If the PE firm wants to retain employees, they may convert unvested RSUs into new equity or implement retention bonuses tied to staying through the transition.
  4. Tax Implications:

    • Cashing out RSUs is typically taxed as ordinary income in the year you receive the payout.
    • If RSUs are converted into private equity, taxation may be deferred until a liquidity event (e.g., when the private company is sold or goes public again).

What You Should Do

  1. Review Your RSU Agreement:

    • Look for clauses on change of control, acceleration, or cancellation.
  2. Talk to HR or Legal:

    • HR or your company’s legal team should provide clarity on what will happen to your unvested RSUs under the buyout.
  3. Consult a Financial Advisor:

    • They can help you understand the tax implications and plan for the financial outcomes of the buyout.
  4. Monitor Deal Announcements:

    • Pay attention to communication about the transaction—details about employee equity are usually included.

Example Scenarios

  • Buyout Price: $50/Share
    • You have 1,000 unvested RSUs.
    • If the RSUs are accelerated, you receive $50,000.
    • If converted, you may receive equivalent equity in the new private company based on its valuation.
  • Private Equity Conversion:
    • The RSUs could be replaced with options or units in the new private company. For example, 1,000 RSUs might convert into options for 1,000 shares of the private company, vesting over time.

Conclusion

The fate of your unvested RSUs largely depends on the specifics of the buyout deal and your equity plan. It’s worth consulting your RSU agreement and HR team for clarity and preparing for tax implications.

Why Your Score Dropped

  1. High Credit Utilization:

    • Credit utilization is the percentage of your credit limit that you're using. It's a major factor in your credit score (30% of FICO).
    • At 70% utilization, it signals to lenders that you're heavily reliant on credit, which can be seen as risky.
  2. Temporary Nature:

    • This decrease is not permanent. Once you lower your credit card balance, your utilization rate will drop, and your score should recover.

How to Recover Your Credit Score

  1. Pay Down Your Balance Quickly:

    • Aim to bring your utilization below 30% as soon as possible. For a $2,000 limit, that means keeping your balance below $600. Ideally, aim for below 10% ($200) for maximum score improvement.
  2. Pay Before the Statement Closing Date:

    • The balance reported to credit bureaus is usually the one shown on your statement closing date, not your due date. Paying your card down before the statement closes will reduce the balance reported.
  3. Make Multiple Payments Per Month:

    • If you're using your card heavily, consider making payments multiple times a month to keep your reported balance low.
  4. Request a Credit Limit Increase:

    • A higher limit can reduce your utilization rate if your spending stays the same. For example, a $2,000 balance on a $4,000 limit is only 50% utilization.
    • Ensure your credit profile is in good standing before requesting this to increase your chances.
  5. Avoid Maxing Out Your Card:

    • Consistently using close to your full limit (e.g., $2,000 of a $2,400 limit) can hurt your score even if you're paying on time. Keep spending well below your limit, especially as you're building your credit.

Things to Keep in Mind

  1. Use Your Card Strategically:

    • Credit cards are great for building credit, but you should aim to pay off your balance in full each month to avoid interest and high utilization reporting.
  2. Monitor Your Score Regularly:

    • Apps like Credit Karma or Chase's credit insights can help you track changes in your score.
  3. This is Temporary:

    • As soon as you reduce your utilization, your score will bounce back. Keep practicing good habits, and your credit score will steadily improve.

Long-Term Strategy

  • Stay below 30% utilization on all cards.
  • Pay in full by the due date to avoid interest.
  • Diversify credit use over time (e.g., adding a small personal loan in the future, if necessary).

You’re right that traditional beta does not account for the liability of ETF fees or expense ratios. To incorporate the impact of fees into the risk assessment of an ETF, you can use a few additional methods or considerations:

1. Adjusted Returns for Fees

  • Impact: Fees directly reduce the net returns of the ETF, so they affect the total return risk.
  • Method: Adjust the ETF's historical returns by deducting the annual expense ratio from the reported returns.
  • Result: Analyze the beta or volatility of these net returns instead of the gross returns to get a more realistic risk measure.

2. Sharpe Ratio with Fees

  • The Sharpe Ratio measures risk-adjusted returns.
  • Adjustment: Calculate using net returns (after fees). Compare this against similar ETFs or benchmarks. A lower Sharpe Ratio after fees indicates less efficient risk-adjusted performance.

3. Expense Drag in Scenario Analysis

  • Impact: Expense ratios act as a guaranteed loss percentage annually.
  • Method:
    • Model hypothetical scenarios (e.g., market gains/losses) and incorporate the impact of the expense ratio.
    • Example: If an ETF earns 7% annually but has a 1% expense ratio, the investor effectively earns 6%. This creates a compounding drag over time.

4. Fee Risk as a Sensitivity Factor

  • Treat fees as a fixed liability in sensitivity analysis.
  • Measure how the presence of fees affects long-term portfolio growth or magnifies risk during down markets (e.g., market losses still incur fees).

5. Expense-Adjusted Alpha

  • Alpha typically measures excess returns over a benchmark.
  • Calculate alpha after subtracting fees. A negative expense-adjusted alpha indicates the ETF may not be adding value after accounting for costs.

6. Monte Carlo Simulations

  • Use Monte Carlo simulations to project the impact of the expense ratio over various market conditions and holding periods.
  • Evaluate the probability of underperformance due to compounding expenses.

7. Tracking Error Adjusted for Fees

  • Tracking Error: Measures how closely an ETF tracks its benchmark.
  • Incorporate fees into tracking error analysis to see how they distort alignment with the benchmark.

Example Consideration:

Imagine an ETF with a gross return of 7% and a 1% expense ratio:

  • Net Beta: Adjust historical returns for the 1% fee, then recalculate beta relative to a benchmark.
  • Sharpe Ratio After Fees: Use net returns in the Sharpe Ratio formula.

In conclusion, while beta measures systematic market risk, incorporating the expense ratio into risk measures provides a more comprehensive view of the true liability of investing in an ETF. Adjusted returns, scenario analysis, and Sharpe ratios with fees are practical ways to account for this liability.

It sounds like you're in a strong financial position with accessible equity, no mortgage on your commercial properties, and a steady income stream. Let’s walk through your questions systematically:


1. Options to Access Commercial Property Equity

You can access the equity in your commercial properties through several methods:

  1. Cash-Out Refinancing

    • Replace your current loan-free properties with a new mortgage, allowing you to access up to 70–80% of their value in cash.
    • Interest rates are typically lower than other forms of borrowing.
  2. Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) or Commercial Equity Line

    • A flexible option where you only pay interest on the amount drawn.
    • Suitable for ongoing investments or projects where cash flow timing varies.
  3. Bridge Loans

    • Short-term loans against equity for specific investments or transitions.
    • Higher interest rates but useful for time-sensitive opportunities like house flipping or BRRR.
  4. Mezzanine Financing

    • Ideal for large-scale investments or expansions.
    • Lenders use a mix of equity and debt repayment, reducing upfront cash needs.

2. Is This a Good Fit for an SBA Product?

Yes, SBA loans could be a great fit for your situation, especially for buying a business or franchise. Here’s why:

  • Pros:
    • Long repayment terms (10–25 years depending on the loan type).
    • Lower down payments (10–20% vs. 30%+ for traditional loans).
    • Competitive interest rates.
  • Cons:
    • Lengthy application process with substantial documentation.
    • Collateral requirements might extend to your personal properties.

Best SBA Products:

  • 7(a) Loan: For buying an existing business or franchise.
  • 504 Loan: If expanding your liquidation store or buying more real estate.

3. Equity Leverage Options for Loans or Investments

Here’s how you can leverage your equity for different investment types:

  • For Buying an Existing Business or Franchise:
    • SBA loans or equity-based lines of credit are optimal.
    • Explore seller financing to reduce upfront costs.
  • For House Flipping or BRRR:
    • Hard money loans or equity lines tied to commercial properties are effective for short-term needs.
    • Consider partnerships to share risk.
  • For Stocks or Passive Investments:
    • Use a smaller portion of equity to avoid over-leveraging.
    • Margin loans (if trading) but ensure manageable risk.

4. Factors to Adjust for Ideal Fit

  • Liquidity Needs: Ensure you have enough liquidity for emergencies even after leveraging equity.
  • Cash Flow: Assess the cash flow of potential investments to cover new loan payments.
  • Risk Tolerance: Consider diversification to avoid heavy exposure to one asset type.
  • Credit Profile: Strengthen your credit score if needed to secure better terms.
  • Goal Clarity: Prioritize whether you want active income (e.g., flipping) or passive income (e.g., rental properties or stocks).

5. Other Thoughts

  • Diversification: With solid real estate equity, you might consider balancing investments with less tangible options (e.g., stocks, REITs, or tech ventures).
  • Partnerships: Explore partnerships for investments requiring significant upfront capital, reducing your risk.
  • HVAC Industry Leverage: Your expertise in HVAC might allow unique insights for house flipping, BRRR, or commercial property improvements.
  • Tax Planning: Consult a CPA to structure equity use and investments tax-efficiently.

To estimate how much you'll owe in taxes, let's break down your situation step by step. We will calculate your federal tax liability and Connecticut state tax liability.


Federal Taxes

1. Adjusted Gross Income (AGI):

  • Job income: $27,890
  • Gambling winnings: $10,000 AGI = $27,890 + $10,000 = $37,890

2. Deductions:

  • You likely qualify for the standard deduction, which is $13,850 for single filers (2023 values—this may adjust slightly for 2024).

3. Taxable Income:

Taxable Income = AGI – Standard Deduction = $37,890 – $13,850 = $24,040

4. Federal Tax Brackets (2023 Single Filer):

  • 10% on the first $11,000 = $1,100
  • 12% on income from $11,000 to $24,040 = $1,560 Total Federal Tax = $1,100 + $1,560 = $2,660

5. Tax Credits and Withholding:

  • Withheld Taxes: $3,491 Based on these rough calculations, you'll likely get a federal refund of about $831.

Premium Tax Credits Adjustment

  • Your eligibility for premium tax credits was calculated based on an income of $28,000. With an actual income of $37,890, you may have to repay some of the premium tax credits. This will depend on the income threshold and sliding scale for your marketplace plan.

Let me know your household size and the marketplace plan details so we can refine this part.


Connecticut State Taxes

1. Income Subject to Tax:

  • Job income + Gambling winnings = $37,890
  • Connecticut allows deductions for gambling losses (up to the amount of winnings). If your gambling losses = $10,000, your taxable income may drop to $27,890.

2. State Tax Brackets (2023):

For $27,890:

  • 3% on the first $10,000 = $300
  • 5% on income above $10,000 = $893.50 Total State Tax = $300 + $893.50 = $1,193.50

3. Estimated State Taxes:

Assuming you haven't had much withheld for state taxes, you might owe approximately $1,193.50.


Summary Estimate

  • Federal Taxes: Likely a refund of ~$831 (pending premium credit adjustment)
  • State Taxes: Likely to owe ~$1,194

Unfortunately, as a nonresident with no U.S. taxable income or filing requirement for 2024, you won't be able to file a U.S. tax return to claim your realized capital loss of $4,300 this year. Here's how this works and some points to consider:

Key Points:

  1. Capital Loss Carryforward Rules:

    • In the U.S., individuals can use capital losses to offset capital gains in the same year. If losses exceed gains, up to $3,000 of the net loss can offset other income.
    • Any unused losses can be carried forward to future years, but this requires filing a tax return in the year the loss is realized to establish the loss and carryforward.
  2. Nonresident Filing Requirement:

    • If you’re not a U.S. resident and don’t have U.S. taxable income, you typically don’t need to file a U.S. tax return (Form 1040-NR).
    • Without filing, the IRS has no record of your loss, and you cannot establish it for future use.
  3. Future Income Scenarios:

    • If you return to the U.S., resume taxable activity, or generate U.S. income in the future, you won’t be able to carry forward this loss since it wasn’t reported in the year it occurred.
  4. Robinhood Considerations:

    • Robinhood will issue a Form 1099-B (if required) for your realized transactions, but this form is primarily for your reference and filing. Since you won’t be filing a return, it won’t directly help you with the carryforward.

Potential Options:

  1. Voluntary Filing:

    • You could file a Form 1040-NR voluntarily for 2024 to report the loss, even without U.S. income. However, this could raise questions from the IRS as to why you’re filing without a filing obligation. Consult a tax advisor to weigh this option.
  2. Tax Treaty Benefits:

    • Check if there’s a tax treaty between your home country and the U.S. that might allow for any special treatment of capital losses. However, this is rare and usually applies to residents of treaty countries.
  3. Record Keeping:

    • Keep detailed records of the loss in case U.S. tax laws or your situation change. This may not allow you to retroactively claim the loss, but documentation is crucial if rules evolve.

Conclusion:

Unfortunately, without filing a 2024 tax return, you can’t carry forward the loss for future U.S. tax purposes. If you anticipate generating U.S. taxable income in the near future, you might consider filing voluntarily, but this comes with complexities. Consulting a cross-border tax specialist could help clarify your options.